The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail --but some don't /

Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.

Bibliographic Details

Main Author:	Silver, Nate, 1978-
Format:	Book
Language:	English
Published:	New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
Subjects:	Forecasting. Forecasting > Methodology. Forecasting > History. Bayesian statistical decision theory. Knowledge, Theory of.