Table of Contents:
“...-- 12.4.2.Different Modules of Risk Monitor -- 12.4.3.Applications of Risk Monitor -- 12.5.Risk Informed In-Service Inspection -- 12.5.1.RI-ISI Models -- 12.5.2.ISI and Piping Failure Frequency -- References -- 13.1.Mathematical Models and Uncertainties -- 13.2.Uncertainty Analysis: An Important Task of PRA/PSA -- 13.3.Methods of Characterising Uncertainties -- 13.3.1.The Probabilistic Approach -- 13.3.2.Interval and Fuzzy Representation -- 13.3.3.Dempster-Shafer Theory
Based Representation -- 13.4.Bayesian Approach -- 13.5.Expert Elicitation Methods -- 13.5.1.Definition and Uses of Expert Elicitation -- 13.5.2.Treatment of Expert Elicitation
Process -- 13.5.3.Methods of Treatment -- 13.6.Uncertainty Propagation -- 13.6.1.Method of Moments -- 13.6.2.Monte Carlo Simulation -- 13.6.3.Interval Analysis -- 13.6.4.Fuzzy Arithmetic -- References -- 14.1.Uncertainty Analysis with Correlated
Basic Events -- 14.1.1.Dependency: Common Cause Failures versus Correlated Epistemic Parameters -- 14.1.2.Methodology for PSA
Based on Monte Carlo Simulation with Nataf Transformation -- 14.1.3.Case Study -- 14.2.Uncertainty Importance Measures -- 14.2.1.Probabilistic Approach to Ranking Uncertain Parameters in System Reliability Models -- 14.2.2.Method
Based on Fuzzy Set Theory -- 14.2.3.Application to a Practical System -- 14.3.Treatment of Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties -- 14.3.1.Epistemic and Aleatory Uncertainty in Reliability Calculations -- 14.3.2.Need to Separate Epistemic and Aleatory Uncertainties -- 14.3.3.Methodology for Uncertainty Analysis in Reliability Assessment
Based on Monte Carlo Simulation -- 14.4.Dempster-Shafer Theory -- 14.4.1.Belief and Plausibility Function of Real Numbers -- 14.4.2.Dempster's Rule of Combination -- 14.4.3.Sampling Technique for the Evidence Theory -- 14.5.Probability Bounds Approach -- 14.5.1.
Computing with Probability Bounds -- 14.5.2.Two-Phase Monte Carlo Simulation -- 14.5.3.Uncertainty Propagation Considering Correlation Between Variables -- 14.6.Case Study to Compare Uncertainty Analysis Methods -- 14.6.1.Availability Assessment of MCPS Using Fault Tree Analysis -- 16.6.2.Uncertainty Propagation in MCPS with Different Methods -- 16.6.3.Observations from Case Study -- References....
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