http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-2.xsd
Critical thinking for strategic intelligence
1 online resource (xli, 511 pages) : illustrations (black and white.
Introduction -- Part I. How do I get started? -- Who Are Your Clients? -- What Are the Key Questions? -- What Is the Broader Context for the Analysis? -- How Should I Conceptualize My Product? -- What Is My Analytic Approach? -- Can Collaboration Contribute to a Better Answer? -- Part II. Where Is the Information I Need? -- How Do Models and Artificial Intelligence Help My Analysis? -- What Types of Information Are Available? -- Can I Trust the Sources? -- How Should I Assess the Reliability of Internet Information? -- Part III. What Is My Argument? -- Are My Key Assumptions Well-Founded? -- Can I Make My Case? -- Did I Consider Alternative Hypotheses? -- How Do I Present to Policymakers? -- How Might I Be Spectacularly Wrong--or on the Doorstep of an Unmitigated Success? -- Part IV. How Do I Convey My Message Effectively? -- Is My Argument Persuasive? -- How Should I Portray Probability, Levels of Confidence, and Quantitative Data? -- How Can Graphics Support My Analysis? -- Am I Presenting My Message in the Most Compelling Way? -- How Do I Know When I Am Finished? -- Appendix A. Definitions of Biases and Traps -- Appendix B. Definitions of Intuitive Traps -- Part V. Case studies -- Uncharted Territory in the Arctic -- Blackout on the Eastern Seaboard! -- The End of the Era of Aircraft Carriers? -- The Case of Iraq's Aluminum Tubes -- Glossary of Terms -- List of Names -- Recommended Readings -- US Government Publications -- Index.
Katherine Hibbs Pherson and Randolph H. Pherson.
Includes bibliographical references and index.