rdf-syntax-grammar
mods:
  schema location: http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-2.xsd
  title info:
    title: Intuitive predictions and professional forecasts
    sub title: cognitive processes and social consequences
  name:
    name part: Rehm, Jurgen T.
    role:
      role term: creator
  name:
    name part: Gadenne, Volker.
  name:
    name part: ScienceDirect (Online service)
  type of resource: text
  genre: bibliography
  genre: Electronic books.
  origin info:
    place:
      place term: enk
    place:
      place term: Oxford [England]
    place:
      place term: New York
    publisher: Pergamon Press
    date issued: 1990
    edition: 1st ed.
    issuance: monographic
  language:
    language term: eng
  physical description:
    reformatting quality: access
    form: remote
    extent: 1 online resource (viii, 177 pages)
  abstract: This volume discusses new approaches for the integration of cognitive psychology and professional forecasting, conceptual clarification of intuition and its role in predictions and forecasts. The authors present empirical tests of the theoretical assumptions in the area of psychiatric prognosis, election predictions and energy consumption forecasts. The book goes beyond the individual perspective and deals with technological problems and the social consequences of predictions. The reader is given a vivid overview for judgemental forecasting with special emphasis on practical problems.
  table of contents: Front Cover; Intuitive Predictions and Professional Forecasts: Cognitive Processes and Social Consequences; Copyright Page; Acknowledgements; Table of Contents; Chapter 1. Intuition, lay predictions, and professional forecasts; 1.1 The role of prediction in daily life; 1.2 Lay predictions and professional forecasts; 1.3 Intuition and prediction; 1.4 The intuitive core of professional forecasts. Or: Why do we need a social psychology of prediction?; Chapter 2. Social psychological theories of prediction
  table of contents: 2.1 Early attempts: Prediction as an interaction of situational characteristics and individual factors2.2 The role of cognitive structures and processes in predicting: Tversky and Kahneman's heuristics concept; 2.3 Contributions of other modern judgement research; 2.4 Laboratory versus ""real world"" use of heuristics; Chapter 3. Expanding and testing modern concepts for prediction; 3.1 Part 1: Individual factors and prediction; 3.2 Part 2: From individual predictions to professional forecasts; Chapter 4. The relevance of psychological concepts to the problem of prediction
  table of contents: 4.1 The credibility of predictions4.2 How to evaluate predictions; 4.3 Integrating theoretical concepts; References; Index
  note: by Jurgen T. Rehm and Volker Gadenne.
  note: Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 MiAaHDL
  note: digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve pda MiAaHDL
  note: Includes bibliographical references (pages 162-176) and index.
  subject:
    topic: Social prediction
    topic: Psychological aspects
  subject:
    topic: Intuition
  subject:
    topic: Cognition
  subject:
    topic: Forecasting
    topic: Psychological aspects
  subject:
    topic: Cognition
  subject:
    topic: Prévision sociale
    topic: Aspect psychologique
  subject:
    topic: Intuition
  subject:
    topic: Cognition
  subject:
    topic: Prévision
    topic: Aspect psychologique
  subject:
    topic: intuition
  subject:
    topic: cognition
  subject:
    topic: Cognition
  subject:
    topic: Forecasting
    topic: Psychological aspects
  subject:
    topic: Intuition
  subject:
    topic: Social prediction
    topic: Psychological aspects
  subject:
    topic: Prognose
  subject:
    topic: Sozialpsychologie
  subject:
    topic: Kognitiver Prozess
  subject:
    topic: Psicologia Social
  subject:
    topic: Forecasting
  classification: HM291 .R397 1990
  classification: 303.49
  classification: 71.12
  classification: 77.62
  classification: 77.60
  classification: CV 3000
  classification: QP 325
  classification: 361.4
  related item:
    title info:
      title: Intuitive predictions and professional forecasts
    name:
      name part: Rehm, Jurgen T.
    origin info:
      publisher: Oxford [England] ; New York : Pergamon Press, 1990
      edition: 1st ed.
    identifier: (DLC) 90031507
    identifier: (OCoLC)21118868
  related item:
    title info:
      title: International series in experimental social psychology ; v. 20
  identifier: 0080367631
  identifier: 9780080367637
  identifier: 9781483286921
  identifier: 1483286924
  identifier: http://proxy.library.tamu.edu/login
  record info:
    record content source: OCLCE
    record creation date: 100626
    record change date: 20260326175532.4
    record identifier: in00005743526
    language of cataloging:
      language term: eng