rdf-syntax-grammar
mods:
  schema location: http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-2.xsd
  title info:
    title: War and chance
    sub title: assessing uncertainty in international politics
  name:
    name part: Friedman, Jeffrey A. (Jeffrey Allan)
    role:
      role term: creator
    role:
      role term: author.
  type of resource: text
  genre: bibliography
  genre: Electronic books.
  origin info:
    place:
      place term: nyu
    date issued: 2019
    issuance: monographic
  language:
    language term: eng
  physical description:
    form: remote
    extent: 1 online resource
  abstract: Over the past two decades, the most serious problems with U.S. foreign policy have revolved around the challenge of assessing uncertainty. Past experiences have shown that there is an urgent need to find ways of improving the ways in which foreign policy analysts assess uncertainty, and the ways in which foreign policy decision makers account for risk when evaluating high-stakes choices. This book shows shows how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically.
  table of contents: Introduction : "One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities" -- Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Practical implications and directions for further research.
  note: Jeffrey A. Friedman.
  note: Includes bibliographical references and index.
  subject:
    geographic code: n-us---
  subject:
    topic: International relations
    topic: Decision making
  subject:
    topic: National security
    topic: Decision making
  subject:
    topic: Uncertainty
    topic: Political aspects
  subject:
    geographic: United States
    topic: Foreign relations
    topic: Decision making
  subject:
    topic: National security
    geographic: United States
    topic: Decision making
  subject:
    topic: Uncertainty
    topic: Political aspects
    geographic: United States
  subject:
    topic: Relations internationales
    topic: Prise de décision
  subject:
    topic: Incertitude
    topic: Aspect politique
  subject:
    geographic: États-Unis
    topic: Relations extérieures
    topic: Prise de décision
  subject:
    topic: Incertitude
    topic: Aspect politique
    geographic: États-Unis
  subject:
    topic: POLITICAL SCIENCE
    topic: Government
    topic: International
  subject:
    topic: POLITICAL SCIENCE
    topic: International Relations
    topic: General
  subject:
    topic: International relations
    topic: Decision making
  subject:
    topic: National security
    topic: Decision making
  subject:
    geographic: United States
  classification: JZ1253 .F75 2019eb
  classification: 327.101/9
  related item:
    title info:
      title: War and chance
    name:
      name part: Friedman, Jeffrey A. (Jeffrey Allan).
    origin info:
      publisher: New York, NY : Oxford University Press, 2019
    identifier: (DLC) 2018043558
  related item:
    title info:
      title: Bridging the gap (Oxford University Press)
  identifier: 9780190938031
  identifier: 019093803X
  identifier: 0190938056
  identifier: 9780190938055
  identifier: 9780190938048
  identifier: 0190938048
  identifier: 9780190938024
  identifier: 0190938021
  identifier: 2018043558
  identifier: http://proxy.library.tamu.edu/login
  record info:
    record content source: N$T
    record creation date: 190322
    record change date: 20260319180728.0
    record identifier: in00005717140
    language of cataloging:
      language term: eng