War and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics /

Over the past two decades, the most serious problems with U.S. foreign policy have revolved around the challenge of assessing uncertainty. Past experiences have shown that there is an urgent need to find ways of improving the ways in which foreign policy analysts assess uncertainty, and the ways in...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Friedman, Jeffrey A. (Jeffrey Allan) (Author)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: New York, NY : Oxford University Press, 2019.
Series:Bridging the gap (Oxford University Press)
Subjects:
Online Access:Connect to the full text of this electronic book
Description
Summary:Over the past two decades, the most serious problems with U.S. foreign policy have revolved around the challenge of assessing uncertainty. Past experiences have shown that there is an urgent need to find ways of improving the ways in which foreign policy analysts assess uncertainty, and the ways in which foreign policy decision makers account for risk when evaluating high-stakes choices. This book shows shows how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically.
Physical Description:1 online resource
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN:9780190938031
019093803X
0190938056
9780190938055
9780190938048
0190938048