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Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction /

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tetlock, Philip E. (Philip Eyrikson), 1954- (Author), Gardner, Dan, 1968- (Author)
Corporate Author: EBSCOhost
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: New York : Crown Publishers, [2015]
Subjects:
Economic forecasting.
Forecasting.
Prévision économique.
Prévision.
Cognition & cognitive psychology.
SOCIAL SCIENCE > General.
Techniques de prévision.
Prévisions économiques.
Scénarios.
Psychologie sociale.
Sciences cognitives.
Society.
Economic forecasting
Forecasting
Prognose
Methode
Wirtschaftsentwicklung
Electronic books.
Online Access:Connect to the full text of this electronic book
Table of Contents:
  • An Optimistic Skeptic
  • Illusions of Knowledge
  • Keeping Score
  • Superforecasters
  • Supersmart?
  • Superquants?
  • Supernewsjunkies?
  • Perpetual Beta
  • Superteams
  • Teh Leader's Dilemma
  • Are They Really So Super?
  • What's Next?
  • Epilogue
  • An Invitation
  • Appendix: Ten Commandments for ASpiring Superforecasters.