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Using meteorology probability forecasts in operational hydrology /

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Croley, Thomas E.
Format:	eBook
Language:	English
Published:	Reston, VA : ASCEPresss, ©2000.
Subjects:	Hydrological forecasting. Probability forecasts (Meteorology) Prévision hydrologique. Temps (Météorologie) > Prévision de probabilité. SCIENCE > Earth Sciences > Hydrology. SCIENCE > Earth Sciences > Limnology. Hydrological forecasting Electronic books.
Online Access:	Connect to the full text of this electronic book

Table of Contents:

Practical Usage
Probability and Estimation
A Probability Measure
Outcomes and Events
Random Variables and Distributions
Distribution Characteristics
Estimation
Quantile Estimation
Outlook Definitions
Deterministic Outlooks
Probabilistic Outlooks
Probabilistic Meteorology Outlook Examples
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Outlooks
NOAA 8-14 Day Event Probability Outlooks
NOAA Ensemble Event Probability Forecast Products
NOAA 1-Day Precipitation Event Probability Anomaly Outlooks
El Nino- and La Nina-Based Event Probability Outlooks
NOAA 6-10 Day Most-Probable Event Outlooks
Environment Canada (EC) Monthly Most-probable Event Outlook
EC Seasonal Most-probable Event Outlook
EC Extended Seasonal Most-Probable Event Outlooks
Other Most-Probable Event Outlooks
Derivative Outlooks
Derivative Deterministic Outlooks
Derivative Probabilistic Outlooks
Step-By-Step Instructions
Extensions and Examples
Multiple Meteorology Event Probabilities
Considering Multiple Outlooks
An Example Multiple Outlook Equation Set
Solving the Set Equations
Using the Weights
Bayesian Forecasting
Incompatible Outlook Periods
Operational Hydrology Variations
Sampling and Modeling Independence
Alternative Solutions
Redundancy and Infeasibility
Optimum Solution
Using the Weights
Ordering Priorities
Additional Methodology Considerations
Mixing Most-Probable Meteorology Outlooks
Matching Most-Probable Events.