Cover Image

From uncertainty to policy : a guide to migration scenarios /

" This book provides a practical and interdisciplinary blueprint for determining quantitative scenarios of future international migration. Focusing on complexity and uncertainty as the defining challenges of migration, it explores how scenario building can be used to inform and underpin effecti...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Other Authors: Bijak, Jakub (Editor)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Cheltenham, UK ; Northampton, Massachusetts : Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, 2024.
Subjects:
Emigration and immigration > Government policy.
Political planning.
Émigration et immigration > Politique gouvernementale.
Politique publique.
Electronic books.
Online Access:Connect to the full text of this electronic book
Table of Contents:
  • Part I: Foundations
  • Introduction: Migration uncertainty, policy and scenarios / Jakub Bijak
  • Collecting evidence : ingredients of scenario-building / Jakub Bijak and Mathias Czaika
  • Part II: Dealing with epistemic uncertainty : concepts, drivers and data
  • Sources of uncertainty in migration scenarios / Mathias Czaika, Heidrun Bohnet, Federica Zardo and Jakub Bijak
  • Migration drivers across time and space : selected examples / Marta Bivand Erdal, Helga de Valk, ackline Wahba and Jakub Bijak
  • Estimating European migration flows / Peter W.F. Smith, Nico Keilman, Georgios Aristotelous and Jakub Bijak
  • Part III: Adapting to aleatory uncertainty : scanning the future with scenarios
  • Ways of dealing with uncertainty in migration scenarios / Emily Barker and Jakub Bijak
  • Setting scenarios : combining numbers and stories / Michaela Potančoková, Helga de Valk, Rafael Costa, Michaël Boissonneault and Jakub Bijak
  • Part IV: From migration scenarios to evidence-informed policies
  • Communico, ergo sum? : potential and pitfalls of knowledge exchange / Daniela Vono de Vilhena, Andreas Edel and Christian Kobsda
  • Forecasting asylum : the perspective of the European Union Agency for Asylum (EUAA) / Teddy A. Wilkin and Constantinos Melachrinos
  • Comment: Dealing with uncertainty in population projections / Rainer Muenz
  • Contested realities : context and the ethics of migration scenarios / Ann Singleton
  • Part V: Conclusions
  • From uncertainty to policy : concluding remarks / Jakub Bijak
  • Glossary of key terms.