rdf-syntax-grammar
mods:
  schema location: http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-2.xsd
  title info:
    title: Quantifying counterfactual military history
  name:
    name part: Fagan, Brennen
    role:
      role term: author.
  name:
    name part: Taylor & Francis
  type of resource: text
  genre: bibliography
  genre: Electronic books.
  origin info:
    place:
      place term: flu
    date issued: 2023
    edition: First edition.
    issuance: monographic
  language:
    language term: eng
  physical description:
    form: remote
    extent: 1 online resource : illustrations
  abstract: "Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be considered to be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgments and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications"--
  table of contents: Could history have been otherwise? -- Could the Germans have won the Battle of Jutland? -- Could the Germans have won the Battle of Britain? -- Could the USA have prevailed in Vietnam? -- The road to Able Archer : counterfactual reasoning and the dangerous history of nuclear deterrence 1945-1983 -- Conclusions -- Appendix: Some mathematical background (with no equations).
  target audience: general
  note: Brennen Fagan [and 4 others].
  note: Includes bibliographical references and index.
  note: Dr Brennen Fagan is a postdoctoral research associatesupported bythe Leverhulme Centre for Anthropocene Biodiversity and the Department of Mathematics at the University of York. He received his PhD in Mathematics, working with the York Historical Warfare Analysis Group to better understand human conflict by examining and modelling historical war data, and now studies the mathematics of biodiversity change. Dr Ian Horwood is a historian at York St John University, where he is Senior Lecturer. His principal interests are in US military history, airpower history and the wars in Indochina. Dr Horwood received his PhD in History from the University of Leeds. Professor Niall MacKay is a mathematician and theoretical physicist at the University of York. He has interests in military history, operations research and combat modelling. He received his PhD in Theoretical and Mathematical Physics from Durham University. Dr Christopher Price is Senior Lecturer in History at York St John University. His main areas of interest are political, economic and military history in the twentieth century, especially British and US history in the period surrounding the Great Depression, the two World Wars and the Cold War. He received his PhD in History from the University of York. Professor Andrew James (Jamie) Wood is a mathematician and systems biologist at the University of York. He specializes in the simulation and analysis of complex systems, and has interests across a range of modern international history and the analysis of warfare. He received his PhD in Theoretical and Mathematical Physics from Imperial College London.
  subject:
    topic: Imaginary wars and battles
  subject:
    topic: Military art and science
    topic: Decision making
    topic: Mathematical models
  subject:
    topic: Combat
    topic: Mathematical models
  subject:
    topic: Military history
    topic: Methodology
  subject:
    topic: Guerres et batailles imaginaires
  subject:
    topic: Art et science militaires
    topic: Prise de décision
    topic: Modèles mathématiques
  subject:
    topic: Combat
    topic: Modèles mathématiques
  subject:
    topic: Histoire militaire
    topic: Méthodologie
  subject:
    topic: MATHEMATICS / Recreations & Games
  subject:
    topic: MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General
  subject:
    topic: Combat
    topic: Mathematical models
  subject:
    topic: Imaginary wars and battles
  subject:
    topic: Military art and science
    topic: Decision making
    topic: Mathematical models
  subject:
    topic: Military history
    topic: Methodology
  classification: U313
  classification: 355.4/8
  related item:
    title info:
      title: ASA-CRC series on statistical reasoning in science and society
  identifier: 9780429488405
  identifier: 0429488408
  identifier: 9780429948800
  identifier: 0429948808
  identifier: 9780429948794
  identifier: 0429948794
  identifier: 9781138592384
  identifier: 9781138594524
  identifier: 9780429948787
  identifier: 0429948786
  identifier: 9780429488405 Taylor & Francis
  identifier: http://proxy.library.tamu.edu/login
  record info:
    record content source: TYFRS
    record creation date: 230919
    record change date: 20241111204806.5
    record identifier: in00005528422
    language of cataloging:
      language term: eng