Modeling electoral volatility and party nationalization using linear mixed models /
This case study shows how the linear mixed model--specifically the growth curve model--can be used to study political party electoral performance. In particular, growth curve models are well-suited for modeling electoral volatility (or "swing"), electoral realignment, and party nationaliza...
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| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
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London :
SAGE Publications Ltd,
2019.
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| Series: | SAGE Research Methods. Cases.
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Connect to the full text of this electronic book |
| Summary: | This case study shows how the linear mixed model--specifically the growth curve model--can be used to study political party electoral performance. In particular, growth curve models are well-suited for modeling electoral volatility (or "swing"), electoral realignment, and party nationalization. This case focusses on the unconditional model, which is the form of the model designed to represent the outcomes of interest (rather than their causes). It starts with a simple linear regression trend model, and builds to incorporate nonlinear change, and multilevel data structures that arise from the analysis of district-level observations, and multiple parties. It shows that the metaphor of a growth trajectory is a more useful representation of party performance than traditional alternatives (such as Pedersen's Index of electoral volatility) by identifying features of party support that are not detectable using those alternatives. It further shows that it is a model which operationalizes important propositions dating back to theories that arose from the early study of American political behavior (such as Converse' concept of the "normal vote"). |
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| Physical Description: | 1 online resource : illustrations. |
| Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| ISBN: | 9781526487308 1526487306 |