Prediction : science, decision making, and the future of nature /

Based upon ten case studies, Prediction explores how science-based predictions guide policy making and what this means in terms of global warming, biogenetically modifying organisms and polluting the environment with chemicals.

Bibliographic Details
Other Authors:	Sarewitz, Daniel R., Pielke, Roger A., Jr., 1968-, Byerly, Radford
Format:	Book
Language:	English
Published:	Washington, D.C. : Island Press, [2000]
Subjects:	Science and state. Decision making. Forecasting. Technology and state. Decision Making Forecasting Prediction. Planning. Environmental policy. Resource management. Risk assessment. Social benefit. Politics. Interdisciplinary research. Uncertainty. Politique scientifique et technique. Prise de décision. Prévision. decision making. Technology and state Decision making Science and state Prognose Naturwissenschaften Aufsatzsammlung Politik Umweltpolitik
Online Access:	Publisher description

Table of Contents:

Introduction : Death, taxes, and environmental policy / Daniel Sarewitz, Roger A. Pielke, Jr., and Radford Byerly, Jr.
Prediction in science and policy / Daniel Sarewitz and Roger A. Pielke, Jr.
Why predict? Historical perspectives on prediction in earth science / Naomi Oreskes
Uncertainty, judgment, and error in prediction / Thomas R. Stewart
Short-term weather prediction : an orchestra in need of a conductor / William H. Hooke and Roger Pielke, Jr.
Flood prediction : immersed in the quagmire of national flood mitigation strategy / Stanley A. Changnon
The asteroid/comet impact hazard : Homo sapiens as dinosaur? / Clark R. Chapman
Predicting earthquakes : science, pseudoscience, and public policy paradox / Joanne M. Nigg
What you know can hurt you : predicting the behavior of nourished beaches / Orrin H. Pilkey
Is this number to your liking? Water quality predictions in mining impact studies / Robert E. Moran
From tin roof to torn wet blanket : predicting and observing groundwater movement at a proposed nuclear waste site / Daniel Metlay
Oil and gas resource appraisal : diminishing reserves, increasing supplies / Donald L. Gautier
Predictive modeling of acid rain : obstacles to generating useful information / Charles Herrick
Prediction and other approaches to climate change policy / Steve Rayner
Alternatives to prediction / Ronald D. Brunner
Prediction in society / Dale Jamieson
Prediction and characteristic times / Radford Byerly, Jr.
A decision framework for prediction in environmental policy / Charles Herrick and J. Michael Pendleton
Decision making and the future of nature : understanding and using predictions / Roger A. Pielke, Jr., Daniel Sarewitz, and Radford Byerly, Jr.