Cover Image

Forecasting : an essential introduction /

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Castle, Jennifer, 1979- (Author), Clements, Michael P. (Author), Hendry, David F. (Author)
Corporate Author: JSTOR (Organization)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: New Haven [Connecticut] : Yale University Press, [2019]
Subjects:
Economic forecasting.
Prévision économique.
Ökonometrie
Prognose
Unsicherheit
Electronic books.
Online Access:Connect to the full text of this electronic book
Table of Contents:
  • Why do we need forecasts?
  • How do we make forecasts?
  • Where are we before we forecast?
  • How do we judge forecasts?
  • How uncertain are our forecasts?
  • Are some real world events unpredictable?
  • Why do systematic forecast failures occur?
  • Can we avoid systematic forecast failures?
  • How do we automatically detect breaks?
  • Can we forecast breaks before they hit?
  • Can we improve forecasts during breaks?
  • Would more information be useful?
  • Can econometrics improve forecasting?
  • Can you trust economic forecasts?