The politics and science of prevision : governing and probing the future /

This book inquires into the use of prediction at the intersection of politics and academia, and reflects upon the implications of future-oriented policymaking across different fields. The volume focuses on the key intricacies and fallacies of prevision in a time of complexity, uncertainty and unpred...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Other Authors: Wenger, Andreas (Editor), Jasper, Ursula (Editor), Dunn Cavelty, Myriam (Editor)
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: London ; New York : Routledge, [2020]
Series:CSS studies in security and international relations.
Subjects:
Table of Contents:
  • Part 1. Introduction
  • Governing and probing the future : the politics and science of prevision / Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty
  • Part 2. Academic perspectives on future-oriented policy-making
  • Imagined worlds : the politics of future-making in the 21st century / Sheila Jasanoff
  • How to know the future
  • and the past (and how not) : a pragmatist perspective on foresight and hindsight / Gunther Hellmann
  • Future thinking and cognitive distortions : key questions that guide forecasting processes / Michael C. Horowitz
  • Thinking historically : a guide for policy / Francis J. Gavin
  • From predicting to forecasting : uncertainties, scenarios, and their (un-)intended side effects / Myriam Dunn Cavelty
  • Part 3. Empirical perspectives across policy fields
  • Uncertainty and precariousness at the policy-science interface : three cases of climate-driven adaptation / Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk
  • The anticipative medicalization of life : governing future risk and uncertainty in (global) health / Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health / Ursula Jasper
  • Crisis, what crisis? Uncertainty, risk, and financial markets / Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson
  • Imagining future biothreats : the role of popular culture / Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer
  • Forecasting civil war and political violence / Corinne Bara
  • Predicting nuclear weapons proliferation / Jonas Schneider"We do that once per day : cyclical futures and institutional ponderousness in predictive policing / Matthias Leese Part 4. Conclusion
  • The politics and science of the future : assembling future knowledge and integrating it into public policy / Politics and Science of the Futurre: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy andGovernanceWenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jaspe