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With China's political and economic influence now reaching well beyond its borders, its future course bears significance both domestically and abroad. Predictions abound in anticipation of these consequential "next steps." But in Thomas Fingar and Jean C. Oi's Fateful Decisions, speculating about what may come is eschewed in favor of analyzing what currently is. A collective examination of politics and policy alike, this edited volume illustrates the challenges and high expectations, many of which are the result of its own past successes, that China faces and will need to navigate. But, importantly, it also stresses that the country's direction will be determined as much by conditions and circumstances beyond its control as by its effective internal action. Emphasizing the contingent nature of its future, the book anticipates China's course by focusing on present problems and the ways in which decisionmakers might solve them.
Xi Jinping and the evolution of Chinese leadership politics / Alice Miller -- Grand steerage / Barry Naughton -- Anti-corruption forever? / Andrew Wedeman -- Future of center-local relations / Jean C. Oi -- Social media and governance in China / Xueguang Zhou -- Demographic challenges / Karen Eggleston -- Can China achieve inclusive urbanization? / Mary Gallagher -- Human capital and China's future / Hongbin Li, James Liang, Scott Rozelle, and Binzhen Wu -- Sources and shapers of China's foreign policy / Thomas Fingar -- China and the Global South / Ho-fung Hung -- Bold strategy or irrational exuberance? / Christine Wong -- All (high-speed rail) roads lead to China / David M. Lampton -- China's military aspirations / Karl Eikenberry -- China's national trajectory / Andrew G. Walder.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Studies of the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center