The singularity is near : when humans transcend biology /
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| Corporate Author: | |
| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York :
Penguin,
2006.
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Connect to the full text of this electronic book |
Table of Contents:
- Prologue. The power of ideas
- 1. The six epochs
- The intuitive linear view versus the historical exponential view
- The six epochs
- Epoch one : physics and chemistry
- Epoch two : biology and DNA
- Epoch three : brains
- Epoch four : technology
- Epoch five : the merger of human technology with human intelligence
- Epoch six : the universe wakes up
- The singularity is near
- 2. A theory of technology evolution : the law of accelerating returns
- The nature of order
- The life cycle of a paradigm
- Fractal designs
- Farsighted evolution
- The S-curve of a technology as expressed in its life cycle
- The life cycle of a technology
- From goat skins to downloads
- Moore's law and beyond
- Moore's law : self-fulfilling prophecy?
- The fifth paradigm
- Fractal dimensions and the brain
- DNA sequencing, memory, communications, the Internet, and miniaturization
- Information, order, and evolution : the insights from Wolfram and Fredkin's cellular automata
- Can we evolve artificial intelligence from simple rules?
- The singularity as economic imperative
- Get eighty trillion dollars, limited time only
- Deflation ... a bad thing?
- 3. Achieving the computational capacity of the human brain
- The sixth paradigm of computing technology : three dimensional
- Molecular computing and emerging computational technologies
- The bridge to 3-D molecular computing
- Nanotubes are still the best bet
- Computing with molecules
- Self-assembly
- Emulating biology
- Computing with DNA
- Computing with spin
- Computing with light
- Quantum computing
- The computational capacity of the human brain
- Accelerating the availability of human-level personal computing
- Human memory capacity
- The limits of computation
- Reversible computing
- How smart is a rock?
- The limits of nanocomputing
- Setting a date for the singularity
- Memory and computational efficiency : a rock versus a human brain
- Going beyond the ultimate : pico- and femtotechnology and bending the speed of light
- Going back in time.
- 4. Achieving the software of human intelligence : how to reverse engineer the human brain
- Reverse engineering the brain : an overview of the task
- New brain-imaging and modeling tools
- The software of the brain
- Analytic versus neuromorphic modeling of the brain
- How complex is the brain?
- Modeling the brain
- Peeling the onion
- Is the human brain different from a computer?
- The brain's circuits are very slow
- But it's massively parallel
- The brain combines analog and digital phenomena
- The brain rewires itself
- Most of the details in the brain are random
- The brain uses emergent properties
- The brain is imperfect
- We contradict ourselves
- The brain uses evolution
- The patterns are important
- The brain is holographic
- The brain is deeply connected
- The brain does have an architecture of regions
- The design of a brain region is simpler than the design of a neuron
- Trying to understand our own thinking : the accelerating pace of research
- Peering into the brain
- New tools for scanning the brain
- Improving resolution
- Scanning using nanobots
- Building models of the brain
- Subneural models : synapses and spines
- Neuron models
- Electronic neurons
- Brain plasticity
- Modeling regions of the brain
- A neuromorphic model : the cerebellum
- Another example : Watts's model of the auditory regions
- The visual system
- Other works in progress : an artificial hippocampus and an artificial olivocerebellar region
- Understanding higher-level functions : imitation, prediction, and emotion
- Interfacing the brain and machines
- The accelerating pace of reverse engineering the brain
- The scalability of human intelligence
- Uploading the human brain.
- 5. GNR : three overlapping revolutions
- Genetics : the intersection of information and biology
- Life's computer
- Designer baby boomers
- Can we really live forever?
- RNAi (RNA interference)
- Cell therapies
- Gene chips
- Somatic gene therapy
- Reversing degenerative disease
- Combating heart disease
- Overcoming cancer
- Reversing aging
- DNA mutations
- Toxic cells
- Mitochondrial mutations
- Intracellular aggregates
- Extracellular aggregates
- Cell loss and atrophy
- Human cloning : the least interesting application of cloning technology
- Why is cloning important?
- Preserving endangered species and restoring extinct ones
- Therapeutic cloning
- Human somatic-cell engineering
- Solving world hunger
- Human cloning revisited
- Nanotechnology : the intersection of information and the physical world
- The biological assembler
- Upgrading the cell nucleus with a nanocomputer and nanobot
- Fat and sticky fingers
- The debate heats up
- Early adopters
- Powering the singularity
- Applications of nanotechnology to the environment
- Nanobots in the bloodstream
- Robotics : strong AI
- Runaway AI
- The AI winter
- AI's toolkit
- Expert systems
- Bayesian nets
- Markov models
- Neural nets
- Genetic algorithms (GAs)
- Recursive search
- Deep Fritz draws : are humans getting smarter, or are computers getting stupider?
- The specialized-hardware advantage
- Deep Blue versus Deep Fritz
- Significant software gains
- Are human chess players doomed?
- Combining methods
- A narrow AI sampler
- Military and intelligence
- Space exploration
- Medicine
- Science and math
- Business, finance, and manufacturing
- Manufacturing and robotics
- Speech and language
- Entertainment and sports
- Strong AI.
- 6. The impact ...
- A panoply of impacts
- ... on the human body
- A new way of eating
- Redesigning the digestive system
- Programmable blood
- Have a heart, or not
- So what's left?
- Redesigning the human brain
- We are becoming cyborgs
- Human body version 3.0
- ... on the human brain
- The 2010 scenario
- The 2030 scenario
- Become someone else
- Experience beamers
- Expand your mind
- ... on human longevity
- The transformation to nonbiological experiences
- The longevity of information
- ... on warfare : the remote, robotic, robust, size-reduced, virtual-reality paradigm
- Smart dust
- Nanoweapons
- Smart weapons
- VR
- ... on learning
- ... on work
- Intellectual property
- Decentralization
- ... on play
- ... on the intelligent destiny of the cosmos : why we are probably alone in the universe
- The Drake equation
- The limits of computation revisited
- Bigger or smaller
- Expanding beyond the solar system
- The speed of light revisited
- Wormholes
- Changing the speed of light
- The Fermi paradox revisited
- The anthropic principle revisited
- The multiverse
- Evolving universes
- Intelligence as the destiny of the universe
- The ultimate utility function
- Hawking radiation
- Why intelligence is more powerful than physics
- A universe-scale computer
- The holographic universe
- 7. Ich bin ein singularitarian
- Still human?
- The vexing question of consciousness
- Who am I? : what am I?
- The singularity as transcendence.
- 8. The deeply intertwined promise and peril of GNR
- Intertwined benefits ...
- ... and dangers
- A panoply of existential risks
- The precautionary principle
- The smaller the interaction, the larger the explosive potential
- Our simulation is turned off
- Crashing the party
- GNR : the proper focus of promise versus peril
- The inevitability of a transformed future
- Totalitarian relinquishment
- Preparing the defenses
- Strong AI
- Returning to the past?
- The idea of relinquishment
- Broad relinquishment
- Fine-grained relinquishment
- Dealing with abuse
- The threat from fundamentalism
- Fundamentalist humanism
- Development of defensive technologies and the impact of regulation
- Protection from "unfriendly" strong AI
- Decentralization
- Distributed energy
- Civil liberties in an age of asymmetric warfare
- A program for GNR defense
- 9. Response to critics
- A panoply of criticisms
- The criticism from incredulity
- The criticism from Malthus
- Exponential trends don't last forever
- A virtually unlimited limit
- The criticism from software
- Software stability
- Software responsiveness
- Software price-performance
- Software development productivity
- Software complexity
- Accelerating algorithms
- The ultimate source of intelligent algorithms
- The criticism from analog processing
- The criticism from the complexity of neural processing
- Brain complexity
- A computer's inherent dualism
- Levels and loops
- The criticism from microtubules and quantum computing
- The criticism from the Church-Turing thesis
- The criticism from failure rates
- The criticism from "lock-in"
- The criticism from ontology : can a computer be conscious?
- Kurzweil's Chinese room
- The criticism from the rich-poor divide
- The criticism from the likelihood of government regulation
- The unbearable slowness of social institutions
- The criticism from theism
- The criticism from holism
- Epilogue. How singular?
- Human centrality
- Resources and contact information
- Appendix : The law of accelerating returns revisited.