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Risk assessment and decision analysis with Bayesian networks /

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Fenton, Norman E., 1956-
Corporate Author:	Taylor & Francis
Other Authors:	Neil, Martin (Martin D.)
Format:	Manuscript
Language:	English
Published:	Boca Raton : Taylor & Francis, 2012.
Subjects:	Bayesian statistical decision theory. Decision making. Risk management. Electronic books.
Online Access:	Connect to the full text of this electronic book

Table of Contents:

There is more to assessing risk than statistics
Need for casual, explanatory models in risk assessment
Measuring uncertainty: the inevitability of subjectivity
Basics of probability
Bayes' theorom and conditional probability
From Nayes' theorem to Bayesian networks
Defining structure of Bayesian networks
Building and elicting node probability tables
Numeric variables and continuous distribution functions
Hypothesis and confidence intervals
Modeling operational risk
Systems reliability modeling
Bayes and the law
App. A: Basics of counting
App. B: Algebra of node probability tests
App. C: Junction tree Algorithm
App. D: Dynamic Discretization
App. E: Statistical distributions.