Description
| Abstract: | Statistical PERT is a new procedure for obtaining information about the distribution of a project's completion time when the project is comprised of a large number of activities and the time required to complete an individual activity once it can be begun is a random variable. The project is represented as an acyclic network whose arcs correspond to the project activities. This network is simplified by replacing various activity configurations by single equivalent activities and then decomposed into several subnetworks. The distribution and moments of each subnetwork's completion time are bounded and approximated on the basis of two points from each activity's completion time distribution by using some mathematical programming techniques and a new result in the theory of networks. The project's completion time distribution is then approximated by combining the approximate subnetwork distributions. This report describes several refinements in the subnetwork analysis procedure. One major refinement greatly reduces the computational effort in obtaining bounds on the project completion time moments and distribution. A second major refinement allows the two-point approximation of an activity's completion time distribution to better represent skewed distributions. The computer programs required to implement the new subnetwork analysis procedure are listed and documented. |
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| Item Description: | "November 1975."
"Research conducted through the Texas A & M Research Foundation." |
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| Physical Description: | 111 leaves, 8 unnumbered leaves : illustrations ; 28 cm |
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| Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references (leaf 25). |
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