All possible wars? : toward a consensus view of the future security environment, 2001-2025 /

This survey is a product of the Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) 2001 Working Group, a project of the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University. Sponsored by the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the working group is an independent, honest-broker effort intende...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Tangredi, Sam J.
Corporate Author:	National Defense University. Institute for National Strategic Studies
Format:	Government Document Book
Language:	English
Published:	Washington, D.C. : Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University, 2000.
Series:	McNair papers ; no. 63.
Subjects:	National security > United States > Forecasting. Security, International > Forecasting. Twenty-first century > Forecasts. United States > Military policy > Planning. World politics > 21st century. Military policy > Planning. National security > Forecasting. Twenty-first century. World politics. United States. Sicherheitspolitik. Zukunft. 2000 - 2099 Forecasts.
Online Access:	Adobe Acrobat Reader required Text version:

Table of Contents:

Introduction
Sifting the Sibylline ashes
Estimates, forecasts, and scenarios
Using the future
some caveats
Assumptions on national strategy
Consensus views
Divergence and contradictions
Wild cards
Towards a consensus scenario
Conclusions: effective defense reviews
Appendix A: Primary sources
Appendix B: Secondary sources.