The Monetary Model of Exchange Rates and Cointegration : Estimation, Testing and Prediction /
These notes draw from the Theory of Cointegration in order to test the monetary model of exchange rate determination. Previous evidence shows that the monetary model does not capture the short run dynamics of the exchange rate, specially when assessed in terms of forecasting accuracy. Even though th...
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| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Berlin, Heidelberg :
Springer Berlin Heidelberg,
1992.
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| Series: | Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems ;
385. |
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| Online Access: | Connect to the full text of this electronic book |
| Summary: | These notes draw from the Theory of Cointegration in order to test the monetary model of exchange rate determination. Previous evidence shows that the monetary model does not capture the short run dynamics of the exchange rate, specially when assessed in terms of forecasting accuracy. Even though the monetary equations of exchange rate determination may be bad indicators of how exchange rates are determined in the short run, they couldstill describe long run equilibrium relationships between the exchange rate and its fundamentals. Stationary deviations from those long run relationships are allowed in the short run. This book also addresses severalissues on Cointegration. Chapter 6 studies the small sample distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistics (on the dimension and restrictions on the cointegrating space) under deviations from normality. This monograph also focuses on the issue of optimal prediction in partially nonstationary multivariate time series models. In particular, it caries out an exchange rate prediction exercise. |
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| Item Description: | Electronic resource. |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (x, 194 pages) |
| ISBN: | 9783642488580 (electronic bk.) 3642488587 (electronic bk.) |
| ISSN: | 0075-8442 ; |