Table of Contents:
  • Introduction to risk in agriculture
  • Decision analysis : outline and basic assumptions
  • Measuring uncertainty with subjective probabilities
  • Making better probability judgements
  • Attitudes to risky consequences
  • Integrating beliefs and preferences for decision analysis
  • Decision analysis with preferences unknown
  • Stochastic simulation
  • Risk and mathematical programming models
  • Decision analysis with multiple objectives
  • Risky decision making and time
  • Strategies decision makers can use to manage risk
  • Risk considerations in agricultural policy making.