Prototype design for a predictive model to improve evacuation operations : technical report /

Mass evacuations of the Texas Gulf Coast remain a difficult challenge. These events are massive in scale, highly complex, and entail an intricate, ever-changing conglomeration of technical and jurisdictional issues. This project focused primarily on the specific issue of developing a new technical t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Corporate Authors: Texas Transportation Institute, Texas. Department of Transportation, United States. Federal Highway Administration
Other Authors: Henk, Russell H.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: College Station, Tex. : Texas Transportation Institute, Texas A & M University System, 2011.
Series:Research report (Austin, Tex.) ; 0-6121-1.
Subjects:
Online Access:Connect to the full text of this online resource.
Description
Summary:Mass evacuations of the Texas Gulf Coast remain a difficult challenge. These events are massive in scale, highly complex, and entail an intricate, ever-changing conglomeration of technical and jurisdictional issues. This project focused primarily on the specific issue of developing a new technical tool to help TxDOT and other key operating agencies/stakeholders better predict when major elements of evacuation operations should be implemented. In particular, a variety of technical analyses were employed to develop a new, prototype decision support system that provides additional insights to more effectively decide when evaculane shoulder operations versus full contraflow operations are needed to manage evacuation demand. This new tool has a predictive mechanism designed to provide lead time for implementing these two prospective operational scenarios. The work conducted during this research involved a large-scale application of the DynusT model, and integrates several different factors into the evacuation operation decision making process-namely real-time traffic conditions, hurricane characteristics (strength and size) and human behavior.
Item Description:Title from PDF title page (viewed Sept. 5, 2011).
"March 2011. Published: August 2011."
Electronic resource.
Physical Description:1 online resource (xiii, 129 pages) : illustrations (some color)
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references.