Ambiguity and its effect on foreign policy decision strategies and choice /
While ambiguity seems to be a critical environmental factor
| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Thesis eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
[Place of publication not identified] :
[publisher not identified] ;
1996.
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Link to OAK Trust copy |
| Summary: | While ambiguity seems to be a critical environmental factor affecting foreign policy decision making, decision research has virtually ignored this concept 'in favor of others such as complexity, risk, and uncertainty. This research project examines the concept of ambiguity, distinguishing it from other environmental characteristics, and presents an experimental analysis of its effect on decision making. Specifically, process tracing technology via the foreign policy 'decision board platform' (introduced by Mintz and Geva 1996) is used to test the application of the poliheun'stic theory of decision to analyzing ambiguity and its effect upon decision strategy and choice. While the results show no linear relationship, they do indicate that ambiguity and decision strategy/choice are curvilinearly related. This suggests that there may be some optimal level of ambiguity in the decision environment-a finding that extends previous studies arguing that decision strategy and choice are linear functions of cognitive strain. |
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| Item Description: | Vita. "Major subject: Political Science". |
| Physical Description: | v, 64 leaves : illustrations ; 28 cm. Also available online. Issued also on microfiche from Lange Micrographics. |
| Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references. |