A Monte Carlo approach to modeling lost person behavior in wilderness areas using a geographic information system /

(MIF), developed by Torsten Hagerstrand in the 1950s, were

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Erickson, Lori
Format: Thesis eBook
Language:English
Published: [Place of publication not identified] : [publisher not identified] ; 1995.
Subjects:
Online Access:Link to OAKTrust copy
Description
Summary:(MIF), developed by Torsten Hagerstrand in the 1950s, were
and model behavior was observed by outputting the simulation
based on four significant variables: age, age, -4, sex, and
cell encompassing that random number became the new center of
characteristics. Visibility was calculated for each cell in
comprehensive GIS data base for the park was developed,
converted to ranges. A random number was generated, and the
equipment. Only age was significant in determining the total
features, roads, or gentle slopes. The northwest direction
first model providing probabilities for input into the MIF
including relevant layers of contours, hydrography,
integrated with a geographic information system (GIS) to
kilometers in a predominantly northwest direction from the
maximum values, respectively. Five simulations for a child
Monte Carlo modeling techniques using mean information fields
of travel appeared to be partly a result of the southeastern
preference for gentler slopes.
profile were performed as a comparison to the adult profile.
Ranch State Natural Area, a 265,000 acre park acquired by
reports provided by the National Association of Search and
Rescue (NASAR). Two models for travel rate and time mobile
simulate lost person behavior in wilderness areas. Big Bend
test point and chose locations which contained drainage
Texas Parks and Wildlife, was used as the study area. A
The adult lost person profile model migrated an average of 4
the lost person behavior data model well, although distance
the MIF, and the probabilities of the visible cells were
the MIF. Several Monte Carlo simulation runs were conducted,
These simulation runs yielded shorter distances and a
time mobile for the second model. In a simulation program
Travel behaviors were collected from 1 18 lost person mission
traveled was overestimated and underestimated for minimum and
trend of the underlying topography. These choices reflect
underlying the MIF and according to the lost person's
vegetation, roads/trails, and other man-made features.
waypoints and the topographic data on 1:24,000 color maps.
were developed from these data using linear regression; the
were modified according to attributes of the terrain
written in ARC/INFO, these initial probabilities in the MIF
Item Description:"Major subject: Geography".
Vita.
Physical Description:x, 106 leaves : illustrations, maps ; 28 cm.
Also available online.
Issued also on microfiche from Lange Micrographics.
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references.